A company is considering the development and marketing of a new product. Development costs will be $2m. There is a 75% probability that the development effort will be successful, and a 25% probability that it will be unsuccessful. If development is successful and the product is marketed, it is estimated that:
Expected profit Probability
Product very successful $6.0m 0.4
Product moderately successful $1.8m 0.4
Product unsuccessful ($5.0m) 0.2
What is the expected value of the project?